It is hard to catch a falling knife!

Current Cryptocurrency Prediction:

  • $NYXBT (Bitcoin), 11/20/18, bull trend signal. TSP (11/21)= 4409.72.

3-month chart. Current price for 4 symbol package = $7,500 quarterly.

Model notes: The model caught most of the power slide, entering long just a couple days too soon. Still a look over the past three months reveals a very positive, prescient model.

Note: The following comments are based on using technical analysis to ‘flesh out’ our nonlinear trading signals. TSP is defined as the closing price on the trading day following the signal day.

Nonlinear Trading Themes:

  • Bitcoin Forecast (Bullish) ($NYXBT): The model took a swing at catching the “falling knife.” We got in a lot closer to the bottom than the previous top. Further good news is that the math indicates the 3700 level will provide stable support. Finally, recent downside volatility seems to be drying up.

GH Garrett – Chief Market Analyst for ConquertheMummy.com  © 2015-2018, “Nonlinear trading signals that matter in bitcoin trading.”

Model scores with recent short signal, issues a bull trend signal!

Current Model (version 4.0) positions:

  • $NYXBT (Bitcoin), 11/20/18, bull trend signal. TSP will be the close of Nov 21, 2018.

 

3-month chart. Current price for 4 symbol package = $7,500 quarterly.

Model notes: The model spent the majority of the last 3 months on the short side of the cryptocurrency market and it was that was definitely the side you wanted to be on. The model seems to be in synch with the market, and for a model builder, it is a good feeling.

Note: The following comments are based on using technical analysis to ‘flesh out’ our nonlinear trading signals. TSP is defined as the closing price on the day following the signal day.

Nonlinear Trading Themes:

  • Bull Trend Signal ($NYXBT): The cryptocurrency broke down after trading in an extended range. But after almost 2 weeks of fairly muscular selling, the nonlinear models indicate the selling pressure is over. Current bears may want to be looking to book some profits.

GH Garrett – Chief Market Analyst for ConquertheMummy.com  © 2015-2018, “Nonlinear trading signals that matter in bitcoin trading.”

V4.x swings back to bearish.

Current Model (version 4.x) positions:

  • $NYXBT (Bitcoin), 10/16/18, bear trend signal. TSP will be the close of the following trading day.

 

 

 

 

Model notes: V4.x the previous signal was a little shorter than usual. Models need to be flexible enough to be able to adjust with probable trend changes.

Note: The following comments are based on using technical analysis to ‘flesh out’ our nonlinear trading signals. TSP is defined as the closing price on the day following the signal day.

Nonlinear Trading Themes:

Bear Trend Signal ($NYXBT): The models now are signaling a retest of the 6000 level.

GH Garrett – Chief Market Analyst for ConquertheMummy.com  © 2015-2018, “Nonlinear trading signals that matter in bitcoin trading.”

V4.x issues a bull trend signal!

Current Model (version 4.x) positions:

  • $NYXBT (Bitcoin), 10/09/18, bull trend signal. TSP will be the close of the following trading day.

Model notes: V4.x is rolling along and the current signal change for the uptrend is lower than the sell (hopefully the official TSPs will be too). I am looking forward to the recent upgrades helping us call the markets with improved accuracy.

Note: The following comments are based on using technical analysis to ‘flesh out’ our nonlinear trading signals. TSP is defined as the closing price on the day following the signal day.

Nonlinear Trading Themes:

Bull Trend Signal ($NYXBT): Prices fell after making near-term highs on Sept 4. But by mid-month prices seem to have stabilized. The models are sensing the buyers will be moving into position to make a push.

GH Garrett – Chief Market Analyst for ConquertheMummy.com  © 2015-2018, “Nonlinear trading signals that matter in bitcoin trading.”

V4.2 issues a bear trend signal!

Current Model (version 4.2) positions:

·         $NYXBT (Bitcoin), 8/28/18 , bear trend  signal. TSP will be the close of Aug 29, 2018.

 Model notes: V4.2 is now online. The exciting news about this version is that early indications are that the new degree of freedom added will give us the sophistication to deal with the market complexity. This has been an issue in some of the recent iterations. Great news and I am very excited.

 Note: The following comments are based on using technical analysis to ‘flesh out’ our nonlinear trading signals. TSP is defined as the closing price on the day following the signal day.

 Nonlinear Trading Themes:

·        Bear Trend Signal ($NYXBT): Prices are near 3-week highs, so the model is selling into short-term strength. Overall, Bitcoin has been in a trading range since July.  

 

Observation: We now have the new fee structure in place (check the l “Fees” tab for details). Get your independent research here, put my 25+ years of model building experience to work for you!

Take a minute to peruse the US Equities tab. I posted the S&P 500 trading signals postmortem for the recent March-April time period (approx. as it took about a week to generate a signal at the beginning). Plus 134 Points. Great stuff!

Take a minute to check out the Forex tab on our website. I am posting the recent US Dollar May-June signals. No whipsaws and playing the surprise Brexit vote just right. Great stuff!

Take a minute to take a minute to click on our bond trading tab. Our signals took the profits in the early month while holding the long interest rates position later. It never sold rates, hinting at higher rates to come. The TBT went higher outside our test window. A nice tip-off for the future!

Check out the energy tab. We tracked crude during the run up to the US presidential election. There was plenty negativity with a surprise ending. See how nonlinear analysis walked us through it!

GH Garrett – Chief Market Analyst for ConquertheMummy.com  © 2015-2018, “Nonlinear trading signals that matter in bitcoin trading.”

V4.0 issues a bull trend signal!

Current Model (version 4.0) positions:

  • $NYXBT (Bitcoin), 7/30/18 , bull signal. TSP will be the close of Aug 1, 2018.

 

Model notes: V4.0 is now online. More notes to follow.

 

Note: The following comments are based on using technical analysis to ‘flesh out’ our nonlinear trading signals. TSP is defined as the closing price on the day following the signal day.

 

Nonlinear Trading Themes:

  • Bull Trend Signal ($NYXBT): More noes to follow.

Observation: We now have the new fee structure in place (check the l “Fees” tab for details). Get your independent research here, put my 25+ years of model building experience to work for you!

 

Take a minute to peruse the US Equities tab. I posted the S&P 500 trading signals postmortem for the recent March-April time period (approx. as it took about a week to generate a signal at the beginning). Plus 134 Points. Great stuff!

Take a minute to check out the Forex tab on our website. I am posting the recent US Dollar May-June signals. No whipsaws and playing the surprise Brexit vote just right. Great stuff!

Take a minute to take a minute to click on our bond trading tab. Our signals took the profits in the early month while holding the long interest rates position later. It never sold rates, hinting at higher rates to come. The TBT went higher outside our test window. A nice tip-off for the future!

Check out the energy tab. We tracked crude during the run up to the US presidential election. There was plenty negativity with a surprise ending. See how nonlinear analysis walked us through it!

GH Garrett – Chief Market Analyst for ConquertheMummy.com  © 2015-2018, “Nonlinear trading signals that matter in bitcoin trading.”

System maintenance, preparing to put 4.0 online.

Current Model (version 4.0) positions:

  • $NYXBT (Bitcoin), signals = brief hiatus, waiting for the next iteration of the formulas. Expect to resume in less than 2 weeks.

 

Model notes: Working on v4.0. My general rule is if 50% of model is being affected by the revisions, I move to the next whole number. I continue to struggle with falling out of synch with the market. My goal is to be using mathematic models to even view (or be alerted to) even “secret” or “insider” announcements that have not been revealed to the public next.

 

Note: The following comments are based on using technical analysis to ‘flesh out’ our nonlinear trading signals. TSP is defined as the closing price on the day following the signal day.

 

Nonlinear Trading Themes:

  • Awaiting Trend Signal ($NYXBT): Awaiting model 4.0. Should be complete in less than 2 weeks.

Observation: We now have the new fee structure in place (check the l “Fees” tab for details). Get your independent research here, put my 25+ years of model building experience to work for you!

 

Take a minute to peruse the US Equities tab. I posted the S&P 500 trading signals postmortem for the recent March-April time period (approx. as it took about a week to generate a signal at the beginning). Plus 134 Points. Great stuff!

Take a minute to check out the Forex tab on our website. I am posting the recent US Dollar May-June signals. No whipsaws and playing the surprise Brexit vote just right. Great stuff!

Take a minute to take a minute to click on our bond trading tab. Our signals took the profits in the early month while holding the long interest rates position later. It never sold rates, hinting at higher rates to come. The TBT went higher outside our test window. A nice tip-off for the future!

Check out the energy tab. We tracked crude during the run up to the US presidential election. There was plenty negativity with a surprise ending. See how nonlinear analysis walked us through it!

GH Garrett – Chief Market Analyst for ConquertheMummy.com  © 2015-2018, “Nonlinear trading signals that matter in bitcoin trading.”

V3.0 switches sides. Oh oh, bear trend!

Current Model (version 3.0) positions:

  • $NYXBT (Bitcoin), signals bear trend, July 16, TSP= Tuesday’s close.

Model notes: V3.0 pushes the bear button against near-term resistance. System is behaving well.

Note: The following comments are based on using technical analysis to ‘flesh out’ our nonlinear trading signals. TSP is defined as the closing price on the day following the signal day.

Nonlinear Trading Themes:

  • Bear Trend Signal ($NYXBT): The models are selling into near-term resistance. This make technical sense as the general trend over the last 5-6 weeks has been generally down. Here we go!

Observation: We now have the new fee structure in place (check the l “Fees” tab for details). Get your independent research here, put my 25+ years of model building experience to work for you!

 

Take a minute to peruse the US Equities tab. I posted the S&P 500 trading signals postmortem for the recent March-April time period (approx. as it took about a week to generate a signal at the beginning). Plus 134 Points. Great stuff!

Take a minute to check out the Forex tab on our website. I am posting the recent US Dollar May-June signals. No whipsaws and playing the surprise Brexit vote just right. Great stuff!

Take a minute to take a minute to click on our bond trading tab. Our signals took the profits in the early month while holding the long interest rates position later. It never sold rates, hinting at higher rates to come. The TBT went higher outside our test window. A nice tip-off for the future!

Check out the energy tab. We tracked crude during the run up to the US presidential election. There was plenty negativity with a surprise ending. See how nonlinear analysis walked us through it!

GH Garrett – Chief Market Analyst for ConquertheMummy.com  © 2015-2018, “Nonlinear trading signals that matter in bitcoin trading.”

V3.0 switches sides, turning bullish!

Current Model (version 3.0) positions:

  • $NYXBT (Bitcoin), signals bull trend, June 20, TSP= Thursday’s close.

Model notes: V3.0 catches a bull trend signal after avoiding a nice drop. System is behaving well.

Note: The following comments are based on using technical analysis to ‘flesh out’ our nonlinear trading signals. TSP is defined as the closing price on the day following the signal day.

Nonlinear Trading Themes:

  • Bull Trend Signal ($NYXBT): Bitcoin dropped to oversold levels and then rebounded some strength. So the model bullish change does make sense when viewed through the lens of TA. We are looking for a good call here!

Observation: We now have the new fee structure in place (check the l “Fees” tab for details). Get your independent research here, put my 25+ years of model building experience to work for you!

 

Take a minute to peruse the US Equities tab. I posted the S&P 500 trading signals postmortem for the recent March-April time period (approx. as it took about a week to generate a signal at the beginning). Plus 134 Points. Great stuff!

Take a minute to check out the Forex tab on our website. I am posting the recent US Dollar May-June signals. No whipsaws and playing the surprise Brexit vote just right. Great stuff!

Take a minute to take a minute to click on our bond trading tab. Our signals took the profits in the early month while holding the long interest rates position later. It never sold rates, hinting at higher rates to come. The TBT went higher outside our test window. A nice tip-off for the future!

Check out the energy tab. We tracked crude during the run up to the US presidential election. There was plenty negativity with a surprise ending. See how nonlinear analysis walked us through it!

GH Garrett – Chief Market Analyst for ConquertheMummy.com  © 2015-2018, “Nonlinear trading signals that matter in bitcoin trading.”

First v3.0 signal a hit!

Current Model (version 3.0) positions:

  • $NYXBT (Bitcoin), signals sell, June 1, TSP= 7490.53

Model notes: Yes! V3.0’s first signal is a hit, first a sell, then a period of low volatility and then a massive move in the direction of the signal. This is just what you want. A signal, time to act on the signal and then the signal proves out. Great time for CTM research!

Note: The following comments are based on using technical analysis to ‘flesh out’ our nonlinear trading signals. TSP is defined as the closing price on the day following the signal day.

Nonlinear Trading Themes:

  • Bear Trend Signal ($NYXBT): The bear trend signal works out well with the eventual breakdown through the May 30 – June 8 trading channel. What about support? With the piercing of 6600, (approx closing low of April) there is no clear near-term support area. One can point out that we are “oversold” What about the future of Bitcoin? Follow my nonlinear mathematical predictions!

Observation: We now have the new fee structure in place (check the l “Fees” tab for details). Get your independent research here, put my 25+ years of model building experience to work for you!

 

Take a minute to peruse the US Equities tab. I posted the S&P 500 trading signals postmortem for the recent March-April time period (approx. as it took about a week to generate a signal at the beginning). Plus 134 Points. Great stuff!

Take a minute to check out the Forex tab on our website. I am posting the recent US Dollar May-June signals. No whipsaws and playing the surprise Brexit vote just right. Great stuff!

Take a minute to take a minute to click on our bond trading tab. Our signals took the profits in the early month while holding the long interest rates position later. It never sold rates, hinting at higher rates to come. The TBT went higher outside our test window. A nice tip-off for the future!

Check out the energy tab. We tracked crude during the run up to the US presidential election. There was plenty negativity with a surprise ending. See how nonlinear analysis walked us through it!

GH Garrett – Chief Market Analyst for ConquertheMummy.com  © 2015-2018, “Nonlinear trading signals that matter in bitcoin trading.”