Sagging After the Exit (USD)

Model Notes: Both models are behaving well. The US dollar broke south at the end of the week, after selling on Tuesday. The gold model issued a buy on 9/08 (after the close), so the purchase day would be 9/09 (closing price was 106.13, GLD basis), Friday’s close was almost identical. The upcoming week will give us a better sense of whether this is a low or not.

Featured market rotation: Equities for August, US Dollar for September and Bonds for October. Japanese yen for November. Brazilian real for December. Gold is currently non-rotational.

Model Portfolios: Gold =  Buy 9/08, USD = Exit Long  9/08

Nonlinear Trading Themes:

  • CTM150911gGold: GLD pierced the 107 level (bad) but managed to hold after the drop day 9/09 the rest of the week (good for bulls) drifted down to find support at the 107 level. Readings are still supportive.  The model gold portfolio remains long.
  • CTM150911uUS Dollar (Sept Featured Market): The greenback staggered during the closing trades of the week. Dollar bulls flinched after looking into ‘don’t rock the boat’ Yellan’s eyes for any sign of stern resolve to raise rates on the back of World Bank criticism. US Dollar portfolio remains flat.

Note: Technical analysis comments are based on interpretations of non-linear trading models, combined with chart price action.

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GH Garrett – Veteran Commodity Watcher for  © 2015, “Nonlinear signals that matter in gold trading.”