Tag Archives: asset allocation

Stocks stall ($spx)

Model Notes: The stock model seems to be still in sync with the underlying market. We are well north of the entry TSP, and while we had a volatile week, we have not seen anything like a classic reversal. We had less luck on the last gold call. Our entry was followed by selling. Today’s moon-shot like rally (after our exit) was the cherry on the stink pot. Oh well, nobody said it would be easy.

March Rotations: Core Gold, Featured: S&P 500 (I am now keeping the March markets for April).

Model Portfolio Signals: GLD flat on 4/1 (TSP=116.15), S&P 500 buy on 3/08 (TSP= 1989.26)

Note: TSP is calculated by using the closing price of the trading day after the signal day. It is more realistic for trading calculations/evaluations.

Nonlinear Trading Themes:

  • CTM160407gGold (Mar. and Apr. core market) This market had a moon-shot today, closing not terribly far from our original entry. Sheesh! Recent trading is not revealing much of a trend and the models agree. Flat is the rule of the day.
  • CTM160407sS&P 500 (Mar. and Apr. feature): The S&P 500 has received some selling this week, but it looks like more of a pause and less like a reversal. Last post I said 2100 or bust. I hope it is 2100.  The stock model stays bullish.

Premium offers:

  • I am now offering a ranking product for institutional clients engaged in asset allocation. I will be using the trading signal technology with a longer time frame to aid in portfolio construction for money managers. I have introductory rates (as low as $5,000 a quarter). Click the ‘ranking’ tab to see more. I have a limited number of slots to fill. I can fill the need for independent research.
  • Remember: Non-linear trading analysis is non-apparent and therefore like “insider knowledge” for standard technical analysis. Be the first to get a “head-up” for coming moves.
  • The post-mortems for the recent US dollar and the VIX featured markets have been posted. To view it select the “Forex” or “US Equity” tabs (respectively) on ConquerTheMummy.com.

GH Garrett – Veteran Market Watcher for ConquertheMummy.com  © 2015-2016, “Nonlinear signals that matter in gold (and wheat)  trading.” Get your independent research here!

Gold model heads to the sidelines. (GLD)

Model Notes: The gold model kicked us out of the losing trade. Friday’s action had positive aspects (settling well off the session lows) but against a backdrop of sellers pressing the support level and down-trending technicals, getting out is probably the right thing to do. Let’s see what kind of TSP we get. Stock readings are still bullish. It’s 2100 or bust. I am introducing an exciting new product to the institutional market: Asset class ranking!  Check the tab. We will be using the trading technology on a longer timeframe to help portfolio managers out-perform. This is economical and smart.

March Rotations: Core Gold, Featured: S&P 500 (I am now keeping the same markets for April).

Model Portfolio Signals: GLD flat on 4/1 (TSP=waiting), S&P 500 buy on 3/08 (TSP= 1989.26)

Note: TSP is calculated by using the closing price of the trading day after the signal day. It is more realistic for trading calculations/evaluations.

Nonlinear Trading Themes:

  • CTM160401gGold (Mar. and Apr. core market) Sellers are pressing the 117 support level (GLD basis) and short term action is displaying down trending characteristics (lower lows and lower highs). The models want none of it. The gold model is signaling flat. We have to see what we get out at with Monday’s close (the TSP value).
  • CTM160401sS&P 500 (Mar. and Apr. feature): The S&P 500 closed at the highest close of the week. The siren song to 2100 seems the favorite bet. The models agree. The stock model stays bullish.

Premium offers:

  • I am now offering a ranking product for institutional clients engaged in asset allocation. I will be using the trading signal technology with a longer time frame to aid in portfolio construction for money managers. I have introductory rates (as low as $5,000 a quarter). Click the ‘ranking’ tab to see more. I have a limited number of slots to fill.
  • I am now offering reasonable rates to institutional clients to get access to our mathematically inspired signals. Click on the ‘Fees’ tab for more info. I have a limited number of slots to fill.
  • Remember: Non-linear trading analysis is non-apparent and therefore like “insider knowledge” for standard technical analysis. Be the first to get a “head-up” for coming moves.
  • The post-mortems for the recent US dollar and the VIX featured markets have been posted. To view it select the “Forex” or “US Equity” tabs (respectively) on ConquerTheMummy.com.

GH Garrett – Veteran Market Watcher for ConquertheMummy.com  © 2015-2016, “Nonlinear signals that matter in gold (and wheat)  trading.”

A Tale of two signals. ($SPX, GLD)

Model Notes: The stock model identified and uptrend and took advantage of the upcoming pulse. This proved to be good. The gold mode also registered a buy ( little later). However the yellow metal did not do as well in the post-Brussel’s terror attack environment. The Wednesday downdraft put us out of the money on the trade but there was limited follow-through on the selling afterwards. This is a very interesting situation. To pursue it further, I am going to keep the markets the same for April.

March Rotations: Core Gold, Featured: S&P 500 (I am now keeping the same markets for April).

Model Portfolio Signals: GLD buy 3/17 (TSP=119.80), S&P 500 buy on 3/08 (TSP= 1989.26)

Note: TSP is calculated by using the closing price of the trading day after the signal day. It is more realistic for trading calculations/evaluations.

Nonlinear Trading Themes:

  • CTM160328gGold (Mar. core market) The market dumped Wednesday of last week, but follow-through selling did not appear. This is a situation seen in trading leading to the question “now what?” I am looking to the models for additional guidance.
  • CTM160328sS&P 500 (Mar. feature): The S&P 500 has had a nice bounce from the lows of the last two months (1800). Now we are closing in on recent highs (2100). Can we break through and go higher. Right now, that looks to be in the cards. Note: Non linear trading theme comments are based on interpretations of non-linear trading models, combined with chart price action (technical analysis).

Premium offers:

  • I am now offering reasonable rates to institutional clients. Click on the ‘Fees’ tab for more info. I have a limited number of slots to fill.
  • With deflationary forces becoming more dominant, top level, successful, investment strategies are going to become more reliant on ‘activity’ (trading). Check out ConquerTheMummy.com for trading signals that help!
  • Remember: Nonlinear trading analysis is “insider knowledge” (non-apparent) for standard technical analysis.
  • The post-mortems for the recent US dollar and the VIX featured markets have been posted. To view it select the “Forex” or “US Equity” tabs (respectively) on ConquerTheMummy.com.
  • I am accepting introductory offers for a slower moving asset allocation/sector rotation product using the ConquerTheMummy technology. Contact me for the details.

GH Garrett – Veteran Market Watcher for ConquertheMummy.com  © 2015-2016, “Nonlinear signals that matter in gold (and wheat)  trading.”