Stocks stall ($spx)

Model Notes: The stock model seems to be still in sync with the underlying market. We are well north of the entry TSP, and while we had a volatile week, we have not seen anything like a classic reversal. We had less luck on the last gold call. Our entry was followed by selling. Today’s moon-shot like rally (after our exit) was the cherry on the stink pot. Oh well, nobody said it would be easy.

March Rotations: Core Gold, Featured: S&P 500 (I am now keeping the March markets for April).

Model Portfolio Signals: GLD flat on 4/1 (TSP=116.15), S&P 500 buy on 3/08 (TSP= 1989.26)

Note: TSP is calculated by using the closing price of the trading day after the signal day. It is more realistic for trading calculations/evaluations.

Nonlinear Trading Themes:

  • CTM160407gGold (Mar. and Apr. core market) This market had a moon-shot today, closing not terribly far from our original entry. Sheesh! Recent trading is not revealing much of a trend and the models agree. Flat is the rule of the day.
  • CTM160407sS&P 500 (Mar. and Apr. feature): The S&P 500 has received some selling this week, but it looks like more of a pause and less like a reversal. Last post I said 2100 or bust. I hope it is 2100.  The stock model stays bullish.

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  • The post-mortems for the recent US dollar and the VIX featured markets have been posted. To view it select the “Forex” or “US Equity” tabs (respectively) on

GH Garrett – Veteran Market Watcher for  © 2015-2016, “Nonlinear signals that matter in gold (and wheat)  trading.” Get your independent research here!