Bitcoin model refit required.

Current Model (version 2.0) positions:

  • $NYXBT (Bitcoin), signals on hold, to return in June.


Model notes: The version 2.0 is having issues (I need to rethink how one of the sub models is working), therefore I need to take it off line for more refitting. I do not anticipate this being very long, 2 weeks at the very outside. Designing trading models with sufficient power to deal with the nonlinear complexity of markets is not an easy endeavor. I believe in the work I am doing and look forward to proceeding with this. Bitcoin is one of the strangest markets and probably the least understood. Can nonlinear analysis shed light on this exotic trading vehicle? I am looking for a great (accurate) second half of the year! Exciting stuff!


Note: The following comments are based on using technical analysis to ‘flesh out’ our nonlinear trading signals. TSP is defined as the closing price on the day following the signal day.


Nonlinear Trading Themes:

  • No Current Trend signal ($NYXBT): The new model is being refit. The bitcoin market near-term outlook is basically range bound but currently decelerating as it approaches the 6700 support lows. We will need nonlinear guidance to see how this will play out. Stay tuned.


Premium Research notes:

Observation: We now have the new fee structure in place (check the “Fees” tab for details). Get your independent research here, put my 25+ years of model building experience to work for you!

Take a minute to peruse the US Equities tab. I posted the S&P 500 trading signals postmortem for the recent March-April time period (approx. as it took about a week to generate a signal at the beginning). Plus 134 Points. Great stuff!

Take a minute to check out the Forex tab on our website. I am posting the recent US Dollar May-June signals. No whipsaws and playing the surprise Brexit vote just right. Great stuff!

Take a minute to take a minute to click on our bond trading tab. Our signals took the profits in the early month while holding the long interest rates position later. It never sold rates, hinting at higher rates to come. The TBT went higher outside our test window. A nice tip-off for the future!

Check out the energy tab. We tracked crude during the run up to the US presidential election. There was plenty negativity with a surprise ending. See how nonlinear analysis walked us through it!

GH Garrett – Chief Market Analyst for  © 2015-2018, “Nonlinear trading signals that matter in bitcoin trading.”