Current Model positions:
- $TNX (rates) bullish signal date = 10/02, TSP = 23.34
- $SPX bullish signal date= 10/11, TSP = 2550.93
Model notes: The models continue to avoid “being faked out” (selling too early in a sustained uptrend) a common problem in overly optimized systems. Still waiting to get the final answer on the upcoming Bitcoin model. Exciting stuff. Let’s look at the charts.
Note: The following comments are based on using technical analysis to ‘flesh out’ our nonlinear trading signals. TSP is defined as the closing price on the day following the signal day.
Nonlinear Trading Themes:
- Bullish Yields ($TNX): This market has broken north of a trading channel. The rate malaise in 2017 was a constant source of speculation as the stock market rocketed off. I guess the bond guys ran out of buyers.
- Bullish Trend Stocks ($SPX): Stocks hit some selling today. There may be some follow-through selling but the force of the recent bullish acceleration does not appear to be in danger yet.
Premium Research notes:
Observation: We now have the new fee structure in place (check the “Fees” tab for details). Get your independent research here, put my 25+ years of model building experience to work for you!
Take a minute to peruse the US Equities tab. I posted the S&P 500 trading signals postmortem for the recent March-April time period (approx. as it took about a week to generate a signal at the beginning). Plus 134 Points. Great stuff!
Take a minute to check out the Forex tab on our website. I am posting the recent US Dollar May-June signals. No whipsaws and playing the surprise Brexit vote just right. Great stuff!
Take a minute to take a minute to click on our bond trading tab. Our signals took the profits in the early month while holding the long interest rates position later. It never sold rates, hinting at higher rates to come. The TBT went higher outside our test window. A nice tip-off for the future!
Check out the energy tab. We tracked crude during the run up to the US presidential election. There was plenty negativity with a surprise ending. See how nonlinear analysis walked us through it!
GH Garrett – Chief Market Analyst for ConquertheMummy.com © 2015-2018, “Nonlinear trading signals that matter in VIX trading.”