Model Gold Portfolio: Neutral, today “exit long” (previous signal was “Long” on 11/20)
Technical Read: Gold was slammed during holiday thinned (a new phrase) trading on Friday but the bears’ dominance was decisively crushed with a substantial rally today. GLD is above our entry level (11/20) but now short-term overbought. Readings indicate it is time to go neutral (exit longs).
- Catalyst 1 – Friday’s gold crash did not manage to coincide with a dollar breakout (this was a clue to the “brief” aspect of the selloff). The US Dollar index is still in its trading range, so a positive for gold
- Catalyst 2 – The S&P 500 had a downside reversal today as well. The uptrend is still in effect but the strength is starting to wane. Mildly positive for Gold.
- Catalyst 3 – Moody’s (credit rating agency) cut Japan’s credit rating from AA3 to A1. US credit rating agencies don’t really have the reputation for great forward insight. Still, taken for what it is, another asset class on the ropes, mildly positive for gold.
- Bond Trading Signals. I am offering a similar Mummy process for Treasuries. See the “Bond Trading Signals” tab for more info.
GH Garrett – Veteran Commodity Watcher for ConquerTheMummy.com